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US Presidential Election

November will come around soon. And Trump is struggling through America’s twin crises. The Economist expects him to fare poorly in electoral college votes. The US desperately needs a moderate, non-polarising figure. Is Joe Biden
the man?

“This year alone, the Fed has increased
its asset base by $3 trillion to $7 trillion.
How much longer will it be willing to
buy everything.”

  • Mark Schreuder, Legal Professional

Australia Stars as IMF Paints Bleak Economic Landscape

The IMF is forecasting the world economy to shrink 4.9% in 2020 and to rebound 5.4% in 2021. The IMF did note that growth in Australia (minus 4.5% in 2020) is faring much better than other developed economies such as the UK (-10.2%) and the US (-8%). Will Scott Morrison phase out the $70 billion JobKeeper program in September?

World trade has fallen, though so far not as much as during the GFC, despite a less amenable trade policy environment.

  • Stage 1 – when a handful of perceptive people spot improving signs
  • Stage 2 – when most investors realise that improvement is actually taking place
  • Stage 3 – when everyone concludes that everything will get better forever!
  1. Stage 1 – when a handful of perceptive people spot improving signs
  2. Stage 2 – when most investors realise that improvement is actually taking place
  3. Stage 3 – when everyone concludes that everything will get better forever